Half Of The Nation’s Top 50 Real Estate Markets Are In A Housing Bubble That Is Ready To Burst
Core Logic is stating that more than half of the nation’s top 50 housing markets are in a housing bubble and were considered overvalued in April. This news is an indication that these twelve markets are in a real estate bubble that can burst any time.
26 markets were considered overvalued and only seven were undervalued. In the top 100 markets, 40 were overvalued, while 32 were at value and 28 were undervalued.
CoreLogic defines an overvalued market as a market where home prices are at least 10% above sustainable levels. An undervalued market is one that is at least 10% below sustainable levels.
CoreLogic Chief Economist Frank Nothaft told National Mortgage News:
The best antidote for rising home prices is additional supply. New construction has failed to keep up with and meet new housing growth or replace existing inventory. More construction of for-sale and rental housing will alleviate housing cost pressures.
CoreLogic expects a somewhat slower rate of appreciation over the next 12 months. CoreLogic also expects a scant 0.2% increase in national home prices in May from April.
Additionally, the company predicts prices will rise by 5.3% on a year-over-year basis from April 2019. However, some individual local markets may still experience rapidly rising prices, putting them at risk of a housing bubble.
Top 12 Markets In A Housing Bubble About To Burst
Here’s a look at 12 housing markets currently in the middle of a housing bubble that could burst any time. The real estate markets in this list have the largest annual increase in home prices, according to CoreLogic. The April median sales price data is based on estimates provided by CoreLogic. Ironically, except for Tampa-St. Pete no other market in Florida made the top 12. However, Miami-Kendall made the top 25. It had a 5.5% increase in values over the past year.
The New York metropolitan area including Long Island and the Hudson Valley only had a 4.5% increase.
Phoenix 250,642 +7%
Tampa -St. Petersburg 190,512 +7.9%
Ft. Worth 232,721 +8%
Nashville 254,012 +8.1%
Riverside, CA 343,046 +8.2%
Los Angeles 597,975 +8.5%
Denver, CO 404,000 +8.9%
Portland, OR 365,368 +9.5%
Oakland, CA 725,544 +10.3%
Las Vegas, NV 267,574 +12.8%
Seattle, WA 544,566 +13.9%
San Jose, CA 1,174,355 +19.7%